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Opportunities for diversification taking into account the innovative activity and resource endowment of the regions

Afanasiev M. Yu., Kudrov A. V., Lysenkova M.A.

Москва, Центральный экономико-математический институт РАН miafan@cemi.rssi.ru, kovlal@inbox.ru

Анализ и моделирование экономических и социальных процессов Ижевск: Научно-издательский центр "Регулярная и хаотическая динамика", 2022. 158pp. Pp. 9-22.

DOI: 10.20537/mce2022econ01

An approach is presented to assess the possibility of diversifying the regional economy based on the formation of recommendations for the development of sectors to the level of strong ones. The approach is based on regression analysis using an extended economic basis that includes characteristics of regional differentiation and innovation activity. On this basis, sectors can be identified, the development of which depends on the innovative activity of the regions. A condition is described that makes it possible to assess the sufficiency of the resource endowment of the sector in the region for its development to the level of a strong one. As a result of testing the proposed approach, 20 sectors were identified, the volume of production of which depends on the innovative activity of the regions, aimed at creating international patent applications. For the “Construction” sector, considered as an example, 12 regions were identified in which this sector has sufficient resource provision for development to a strong level. The possibility of turning this sector into a strong one in other regions may be associated with an increase in their innovative activity and government support.



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